| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 76.7% | 37% | +39.8% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 91.4% | 67% | +24.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 90.6% | 51% | +39.5% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.8% | 57% | -4.4% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.4% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 87.3% | 9.0% | 3.7% |
| xgboost | 63.1% | 20.3% | 16.6% |
| logistic | 87.0% | 10.8% | 2.2% |
| Inter | Salernitana | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1917 | 1424 |
| Surface Elo | 1917 | 1424 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.43 | 1.29 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.86 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.57 | 1.29 |
| Rest days | 6 | 542 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 0 W · 1 D |
| 03 Nov | A | Feyenoord | 3 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | A | Cosenza | 0 - 1 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Ac Milan | 1 - 3 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Ac Milan | 1 - 3 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Venezia | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | AC Savoia 1908 | 1 - 1 | D |
| 26 Oct | A | AZ Picerno | 0 - 3 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Palermo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Scafatese Calcio 1922 | 2 - 2 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Pescara | 3 - 3 | D |
| 16 Feb 2024 | Inter | 4 - 0 | Salernitana |
| 30 Sep 2023 | Salernitana | 0 - 4 | Inter |
| 07 Apr 2023 | Salernitana | 1 - 1 | Inter |
| 16 Oct 2022 | Inter | 2 - 0 | Salernitana |
| 04 Mar 2022 | Inter | 5 - 0 | Salernitana |
| 17 Dec 2021 | Salernitana | 0 - 5 | Inter |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.55 | 39.2% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.30 | 30.3% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.60 | 38.5% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.67 | 59.9% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.15 | 46.5% | 07 Nov 06:15 |