| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 53.0% | 55% | -1.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 48.1% | 51.9% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 49.7% | 50.2% |
| logistic | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| Maja Chwalinska | Sonay Kartal | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1671 | 1724 |
| Surface Elo | 1671 | 1724 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 2.57 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.63 | 1.71 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.63 | 0.29 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | A | Iga Swiatek | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Maria Sakkari | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Iva Jovic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Mayar Sherif Ahmed Abdelaziz | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Sonay Kartal | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Jelena Ostapenko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Jasmine Paolini | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Belinda Bencic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Anhelina Kalinina | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Maja Chwalinska | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Maja Chwalinska | 2 - 1 | Sonay Kartal |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.82 | 54.9% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 18 Oct 06:15 |