OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
🇮🇹 Serie A · Saturday 24 October 2026, 13:00 UTC · finished
Cagliari 2.00 0 - 2 1.00 Bologna
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 42.7%32%+10.5%✗ miss
DCHome or away 74.4%71%+3.7%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 53.3%47%+6.2%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 55.2%60%-5.2%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS no 50.4%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson31.6%28.2%40.3%
xgboost38.4%28.3%33.3%
logistic41.0%28.2%30.8%
Inputs the models saw
CagliariBologna
Elo (pre-match)16561655
Surface Elo16561655
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.001.00
Form trend0.80-0.10
Season points per game1.860.71
Season goals for / game0.860.86
Season goals against / game1.001.43
Rest days46
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W6 W · 1 D
Cagliari: last 5
19 OctAMonza0 - 4L
19 OctAMonza0 - 4L
12 OctHMonza1 - 1D
11 OctHJuventus1 - 1D
11 OctHJuventus1 - 1D
Bologna: last 5
17 OctHInter1 - 3L
17 OctHInter1 - 3L
11 OctALecce2 - 1W
11 OctALecce2 - 1W
19 SepHTorino1 - 1D
Head to head
03 May 2026Bologna0 - 0Cagliari
19 Oct 2025Cagliari0 - 2Bologna
02 Mar 2025Bologna2 - 1Cagliari
29 Oct 2024Cagliari0 - 2Bologna
14 Jan 2024Cagliari2 - 1Bologna
02 Sep 2023Bologna2 - 1Cagliari
11 Jan 2022Cagliari2 - 1Bologna
01 Nov 2021Bologna2 - 0Cagliari
03 Mar 2021Cagliari1 - 0Bologna
31 Oct 2020Bologna3 - 2Cagliari
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.6038.5%24 Oct 14:00
Bet3651X2draw2.9034.5%24 Oct 14:00
Bet3651X2home3.0033.3%24 Oct 14:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over2.3043.5%24 Oct 14:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.6261.7%24 Oct 14:00
SportyBet1X2away2.7636.2%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.0732.6%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.0233.1%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over2.3542.5%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.6461.0%24 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:53 UTC