| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 59.6% | 62% | -2.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 38.8% | 61.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 39.4% | 60.5% |
| logistic | 41.3% | 58.7% |
| Louis Wessels | Andrej Martin | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1418 | 1515 |
| Surface Elo | 1418 | 1515 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 5 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 05 Oct | A | Andrej Martin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Petros Tsitsipas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Jul | H | Maks Kasnikowski | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Jul | A | Kimmer Coppejans | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Jul | A | Jay Clarke | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Alejandro Moro Canas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Louis Wessels | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Samuele Pieri | 0 - 1 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Samuele Pieri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | Filip Cristian Jianu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Andrej Martin | 2 - 1 | Louis Wessels |
| 06 Dec 2021 | Andrej Martin | 2 - 1 | Louis Wessels |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.60 | 62.5% | 05 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.25 | 44.4% | 05 Oct 06:15 |