| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 77.2% | 82% | -4.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 72.7% | 27.2% |
| logistic | 73.2% | 26.8% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Laura Samson | Carolina Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1538 | 1468 |
| Surface Elo | 1538 | 1468 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.85 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.31 | 0.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 6 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 04 Nov | H | Carole Monnet | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Yuliana Lizarazo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | H | Alice Tubello | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Geerlings Martinez, Ariana | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Tamara Zidansek | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Leolia Jeanjean | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Perez Garcia, Maria Paulina | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Perez Garcia, Maria Paulina | 1 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Julia Grabher | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Alena Kovackova | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.00 | 25.0% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.22 | 82.0% | 10 Nov 06:15 |