OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-07
⚽ Scotland Championship · Saturday 07 November 2026, 15:00 UTC · finished
Arbroath 0.00 4 - 1 1.40 Ayr
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 41.1%41%+0.3%✗ miss
DCHome or away 73.8%75%-0.9%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 54.9%58%-2.7%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 54.3%59%-4.8%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 53.6%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson34.5%28.1%37.4%
xgboost33.4%25.7%40.9%
logistic32.1%29.1%38.8%
Inputs the models saw
ArbroathAyr
Elo (pre-match)14731490
Surface Elo14731490
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.001.40
Form trend0.00-0.30
Season points per game0.431.40
Season goals for / game0.431.20
Season goals against / game2.001.20
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W4 W · 4 D
Arbroath: last 5
03 NovHQueen of the South FC1 - 0W
31 OctHRaith Rovers FC0 - 4L
31 OctHRaith Rvs0 - 4L
24 OctALivingston0 - 1L
24 OctALivingston0 - 1L
Ayr: last 5
03 NovAAnnan Athletic2 - 0W
31 OctHQueens Park3 - 2W
31 OctHQueens Park3 - 2W
16 OctHPartick0 - 1L
16 OctHPartick0 - 1L
Head to head
01 Aug 2026Ayr2 - 0Arbroath
11 Apr 2026Ayr1 - 0Arbroath
03 Mar 2026Arbroath1 - 1Ayr
15 Nov 2025Ayr1 - 1Arbroath
01 Aug 2025Arbroath1 - 1Ayr
13 Apr 2024Ayr5 - 0Arbroath
23 Jan 2024Ayr2 - 0Arbroath
13 Jan 2024Arbroath0 - 0Ayr
02 Sep 2023Arbroath2 - 1Ayr
31 Mar 2023Arbroath2 - 0Ayr
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.4540.8%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.2530.8%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.9533.9%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over2.1047.6%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.6959.2%06 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:03 UTC