OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🏈 NFL on 2026-10-18
NFL · Sunday 18 October 2026, 20:25 UTC · finished
Las Vegas Raiders – 30 - 33 – Buffalo Bills
NFL forecast: home/away probabilities are conditional on no tie. Full-game moneylines include overtime; ties refund. Pick publication is disabled pending validation.
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 68.2%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
ensemble31.8%68.2%
Inputs the models saw
Las Vegas RaidersBuffalo Bills
playoff0.00
elo diff-0.42
form diff-0.25
rest diff0.19
home field1.00
point diff-0.63
opponent strength diff-0.08
Information cutoff (UTC)2026-10-17T20:25:00+00:00
Las Vegas Raiders: last 5
11 OctANew England Patriots17 - 45L
04 OctHKansas City Chiefs27 - 30L
27 SepANew Orleans Saints35 - 27W
20 SepALos Angeles Chargers26 - 14W
13 SepHMiami Dolphins27 - 13W
Buffalo Bills: last 5
13 OctALos Angeles Rams37 - 34W
04 OctHNew England Patriots26 - 29L
27 SepHLos Angeles Chargers24 - 16W
18 SepHDetroit Lions41 - 31W
13 SepAHouston Texans36 - 31W
Head to head
17 Sep 2023Buffalo Bills38 - 10Las Vegas Raiders
04 Oct 2020Las Vegas Raiders23 - 30Buffalo Bills
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Pinnacle sharp1X2home3.0133.2%18 Oct 16:20
Pinnacle sharp1X2away1.4469.4%18 Oct 16:20
Generated 2026-10-30 15:53 UTC