| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.8% | 61% | -3.2% | |
| DC | Home or draw | 79.1% | 85% | -5.7% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 72.7% | 79% | -6.0% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.0% | 43% | +6.5% | |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 49.2% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 57.0% | 21.6% | 21.4% |
| xgboost | 60.0% | 18.7% | 21.2% |
| logistic | 55.4% | 25.1% | 19.5% |
| Almeria | Andorra | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1615 | 1431 |
| Surface Elo | 1615 | 1431 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.20 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.20 | 0.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 6 | 12 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 08 Nov | A | CF Motril | 0 - 0 | D |
| 08 Nov | A | Girona | 1 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov | A | Girona | 1 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Churriana de la Vega CF | 0 - 0 | D |
| 31 Oct | A | Eibar | 1 - 1 | D |
| 02 Nov | A | Tenerife | 2 - 2 | D |
| 29 Oct | A | CD Varea | 3 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | H | Burgos | 2 - 3 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Huesca | 2 - 2 | D |
| 18 Oct | A | Girona | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Feb 2026 | Almeria | 3 - 2 | Andorra |
| 06 Dec 2025 | Andorra | 1 - 2 | Almeria |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.75 | 21.1% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.20 | 23.8% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.64 | 61.0% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.58 | 63.3% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.30 | 43.5% | 12 Nov 06:15 |