| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.5% | 67% | -14.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 56.2% | 43.7% |
| logistic | 47.9% | 52.1% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Oscar Jose Gutierrez | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1357 | 1447 |
| Surface Elo | 1357 | 1447 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.67 | 1.20 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.11 | 0.80 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Rest days | 3 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 23 Oct | H | Lorenzo Gagliardo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | H | Rocco Valente | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Klok, D | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | H | Valentin Basel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | A | Mateus Nogueira | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Pedro Boscardin Dias | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Bruno Fernandez | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.42 | 41.3% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.50 | 66.7% | 27 Oct 06:15 |