| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 51.5% | 98% | -46.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 44.1% | 55.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 52.7% | 47.3% |
| logistic | 48.2% | 51.8% |
| Kody Pearson | Giovanni Oradini | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1402 | 1407 |
| Surface Elo | 1402 | 1407 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 167 | 125 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 06 Apr | H | Li Tu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Apr | H | Yi Zhou | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Apr | H | Zhao Zhao | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Quinn Vandecasteele | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Aug | A | Andres Urrea | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 May | H | Guido Ivan Justo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Sep | A | Gianluca Cadenasso | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Nov | A | Alexey Vatutin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Sep | H | Tim Handel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Sep | H | Mili Poljicak | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.02 | 98.0% | 20 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 11.50 | 8.7% | 20 Sep 06:16 |