OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-09-29
🎾 ATP Challenger Porto 2, Portugal Men Singles · Tuesday 29 September 2026, 10:00 UTC · finished
Fausto Tabacco 0.60 0 - 2 0.60 Daniel Rincon
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 71.7%74%-2.3%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov26.4%73.6%
poisson37.0%35.3%
xgboost28.7%71.3%
logistic36.7%63.3%
Inputs the models saw
Fausto TabaccoDaniel Rincon
Elo (pre-match)14081626
Surface Elo14081626
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.600.60
Form trend-0.600.30
Season points per game3.001.00
Season goals for / game2.001.00
Season goals against / game1.001.67
Rest days17
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W0 W · 0 D
Fausto Tabacco: last 5
28 SepHAlejo Sanchez Quilez2 - 1W
28 SepADaniel Rincon0 - 2L
24 SepAInaki Montes De La Torre0 - 2L
31 AugHJuan Cruz Martin Manzano1 - 2L
17 NovAAlexander Donski1 - 2L
Daniel Rincon: last 5
28 SepADino Prizmic0 - 2L
28 SepHDavid Jorda Sanchis0 - 2L
28 SepHLaslo Djere2 - 0W
28 SepHFausto Tabacco2 - 0W
22 SepADino Prizmic0 - 2L
Head to head
28 Sep 2026Daniel Rincon2 - 0Fausto Tabacco
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.3574.1%29 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.0532.8%29 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:05 UTC