| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.5% | 65% | -6.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 39.6% | 60.4% |
| logistic | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Leonardo Rossi | Mika Petkovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1459 | 1508 |
| Surface Elo | 1459 | 1508 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 15 Oct | A | Guillaume Dalmasso | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | 0 - 1 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | 1 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Daniel Masur | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Charles Broom | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | A | David Eichenseher | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Kusy, Jakub | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Vitaliy Sachko | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Vitaliy Sachko | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | H | Francesco Forti | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.53 | 65.4% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.35 | 42.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |