| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 60.9% | 75% | -13.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 41.6% | 58.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 46.8% | 53.2% |
| logistic | 34.1% | 65.9% |
| Francisco Rocha | Lui Maxted | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1336 | 1528 |
| Surface Elo | 1336 | 1528 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Sep | A | Michael Agwi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Tiago Pereira | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Nov | A | Andres Santamarta Roig | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Jay Clarke | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Alejandro Moro Canas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Stice, T | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | Johannus Monday | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Anton Shepp | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Aug | A | Lucas Poullain | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | A | Adrian Boitan | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.34 | 74.6% | 27 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.10 | 32.3% | 27 Sep 06:15 |