| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.2% | 68% | -13.3% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 53.4% | 46.6% |
| logistic | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| markov | abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0) | |
| Alex Michelsen | Botic Van De Zandschulp | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1876 | 1868 |
| Surface Elo | 1876 | 1868 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W 路 0 D |
| 23 Oct | A | Arthur Fils | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | H | Arthur Fils | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | David Goffin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | David Goffin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Andrea Guerrieri | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Clement Chidekh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Clement Chidekh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Oct | H | Rafael Jodar | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Oct | H | Rafael Jodar | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Arthur Fils | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 2 - 0 | Alex Michelsen |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Alex Michelsen | 0 - 2 | Botic Van De Zandschulp |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 1.47 | 68.0% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| 1xBet | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.77 | 36.1% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| 888sport | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 1.50 | 66.7% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| 888sport | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.60 | 38.5% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 1.49 | 67.1% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.70 | 37.0% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 1.45 | 69.0% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.65 | 37.7% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 1.54 | 64.9% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.80 | 35.7% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Alex Michelsen | 1.56 | 64.1% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.84 | 35.2% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 1.49 | 67.1% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.72 | 36.8% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Betsson | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 1.46 | 68.5% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Betsson | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.70 | 37.0% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 1.48 | 67.6% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.67 | 37.5% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 1.43 | 69.9% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.80 | 35.7% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Marathon Bet | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 1.45 | 69.0% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Marathon Bet | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.73 | 36.6% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 1.54 | 64.9% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.80 | 35.7% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Alex Michelsen | 1.56 | 64.1% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.84 | 35.2% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 1.46 | 68.5% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.70 | 37.0% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 1.51 | 66.2% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.73 | 36.6% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 1.36 | 73.5% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.65 | 37.7% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.75 | 36.4% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.48 | 67.6% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| Tipico | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 1.42 | 70.4% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Tipico | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.65 | 37.7% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 1.42 | 70.4% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.55 | 39.2% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 1.43 | 69.9% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.80 | 35.7% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 1.43 | 69.9% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.80 | 35.7% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| William Hill | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 1.50 | 66.7% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| William Hill | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.60 | 38.5% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 1.48 | 67.6% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.75 | 36.4% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 1.44 | 69.4% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.60 | 38.5% | 27 Oct 06:01 |