| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 52.5% | 63% | -10.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 59.5% | 40.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 34.7% | 65.3% |
| logistic | 51.7% | 48.3% |
| Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | Hugo Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1680 | 1706 |
| Surface Elo | 1680 | 1706 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.33 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | H | Juan Estevez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Hugo Dellien | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Juan Estevez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Philip Sekulic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Sep | H | Arthur Weber | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Munk Mesa, Bernardo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Thiago Seyboth Wild | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Juan Manuel La Serna | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Luis "Guto" Miguel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Hugo Dellien | 2 - 0 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.47 | 68.0% | 14 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.55 | 39.2% | 14 Oct 06:15 |