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form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-30

🎾 tennis_atp_swiss_indoors · Friday 30 October 2026, 14:10 UTC · scheduled

Taylor Fritz 1.20 14:10 1.80 Arthur Fils

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Away win	52.4%	54%	-1.9%

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
poisson	37.0%	35.2%
xgboost	44.6%	55.4%
logistic	49.7%	50.3%
markov	abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0)

Inputs the models saw

	Taylor Fritz	Arthur Fils
Elo (pre-match)	1991	2015
Surface Elo	1991	2015
Form, last 5 (PPG)	1.20	1.80
Form trend	-0.90	-0.30
Season points per game	1.50	1.50
Season goals for / game	1.50	1.50
Season goals against / game	1.50	1.50
Rest days	1	1
Head-to-head (last 10)	0 W	1 W · 0 D

Taylor Fritz: last 5

29 Oct	H	Denis Shapovalov	2 - 0	W
28 Oct	H	Rinky Hijikata	2 - 0	W
26 Oct	H	Stefanos Tsitsipas	1 - 2	L
25 Oct	A	Lorenzo Musetti	0 - 2	L
25 Oct	A	Lorenzo Musetti	0 - 2	L

Arthur Fils: last 5

29 Oct	A	Alex Michelsen	2 - 0	W
27 Oct	A	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2 - 0	W
24 Oct	H	Jan Lennard Struff	1 - 2	L
24 Oct	H	Rodrigo Alujas	1 - 2	L
23 Oct	H	Alex Michelsen	2 - 0	W

Head to head

25 Sep 2024

Arthur Fils

2 - 1

Taylor Fritz

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
1xBet	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.88	53.2%	30 Oct 06:01
1xBet	h2h	Taylor Fritz	1.97	50.8%	30 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.85	54.0%	30 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Taylor Fritz	1.95	51.3%	30 Oct 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.91	52.4%	30 Oct 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Taylor Fritz	1.91	52.4%	30 Oct 06:01
Betclic (FR)	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.79	55.9%	30 Oct 06:01
Betclic (FR)	h2h	Taylor Fritz	1.95	51.3%	30 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.96	51.0%	30 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Taylor Fritz	2.02	49.5%	30 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Arthur Fils	1.98	50.5%	30 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Taylor Fritz	2.04	49.0%	30 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.88	53.2%	30 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Taylor Fritz	1.94	51.5%	30 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.81	55.2%	30 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Taylor Fritz	1.97	50.8%	30 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.85	54.0%	30 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Taylor Fritz	1.96	51.0%	30 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.85	54.0%	30 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Taylor Fritz	1.93	51.8%	30 Oct 06:01
Marathon Bet	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.85	54.0%	30 Oct 06:01
Marathon Bet	h2h	Taylor Fritz	1.94	51.5%	30 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.96	51.0%	30 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Taylor Fritz	2.02	49.5%	30 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Arthur Fils	1.99	50.2%	30 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Taylor Fritz	2.04	49.0%	30 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.81	55.2%	30 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Taylor Fritz	1.97	50.8%	30 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.92	52.1%	30 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Taylor Fritz	1.97	50.8%	30 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.78	56.2%	30 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Taylor Fritz	1.85	54.0%	30 Oct 06:01
SportyBet	1X2	away	1.84	54.4%	30 Oct 06:15
SportyBet	1X2	home	2.00	50.0%	30 Oct 06:15
Tipico	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.72	58.1%	30 Oct 06:01
Tipico	h2h	Taylor Fritz	2.00	50.0%	30 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.74	57.5%	30 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Taylor Fritz	1.90	52.6%	30 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.85	54.0%	30 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Taylor Fritz	1.93	51.8%	30 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.85	54.0%	30 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Taylor Fritz	1.93	51.8%	30 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.85	54.0%	30 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Taylor Fritz	1.95	51.3%	30 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.84	54.4%	30 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Taylor Fritz	2.00	50.0%	30 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.78	56.2%	30 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Taylor Fritz	1.94	51.5%	30 Oct 06:01

Generated 2026-10-30 14:00 UTC