| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.0% | 59% | -3.8% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 52.9% | 47.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 54.7% | 45.2% |
| logistic | 51.1% | 48.9% |
| Alex Marti Pujolras | Kai Wehnelt | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1405 | 1399 |
| Surface Elo | 1405 | 1399 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 11 Oct | H | John Sperle | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Filippo Moroni | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Ignacio Parisca | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Stefano Napolitano | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | Dimitar Kuzmanov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Gianluca Cadenasso | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Lorenzo Angelini | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | H | Pierluigi Basile | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Kilian Feldbausch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Facundo Mena | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.05 | 48.8% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.70 | 58.8% | 12 Oct 06:15 |