| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 62.8% | 57% | +5.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.4% | 48.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 71.4% | 28.6% |
| logistic | 58.1% | 41.9% |
| Matisse Bobichon | Viktor Durasovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1551 | 1478 |
| Surface Elo | 1551 | 1478 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 8 | 34 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 18 Sep | H | Tristan Schoolkate | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Sep | A | Adrian Mannarino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Tristan Schoolkate | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Adrian Mannarino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Eliakim Coulibaly | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | Oliver Bonding | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | A | Lucas Poullain | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | A | Manas Dhamne | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Aug | A | Andrea Guerrieri | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Aug | A | Michael Geerts | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.00 | 50.0% | 27 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.75 | 57.1% | 27 Sep 06:15 |