| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 53.8% | 60% | -5.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 58.9% | 41.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 37.3% | 62.7% |
| logistic | 45.3% | 54.7% |
| Nuria Brancaccio | Julia Grabher | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1445 | 1472 |
| Surface Elo | 1445 | 1472 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 24 Sep | A | Veronika Erjavec | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Maria Lourdes Carle | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 May | H | Taylor Townsend | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 May | H | Peyton Stearns | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Apr | A | Moyuka Uchijima | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Alice Tubello | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Ruggeri, Jennifer | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Sorana Cirstea | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 May | A | Amanda Anisimova | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 May | H | Rebecca Sramkova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 May 2023 | Julia Grabher | 2 - 1 | Nuria Brancaccio |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.68 | 59.5% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 25 Sep 06:15 |