| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 43.4% | 31% | +12.6% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 76.4% | 80% | -3.8% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 54.1% | 41% | +12.7% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.9% | 58% | -0.7% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 50.2% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 51.7% | 24.1% | 24.2% |
| xgboost | 38.1% | 32.7% | 29.2% |
| logistic | 27.4% | 19.2% | 53.5% |
| Maidstone | Ebbsfleet | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1226 | 1272 |
| Surface Elo | 1226 | 1272 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.75 | 2.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.88 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.25 | 0.63 |
| Rest days | 1277 | 540 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 3 W · 1 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Torquay | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Maidenhead | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Horsham FC | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Truro | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Cray Wanderers | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | Maidenhead | 4 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Horsham FC | 2 - 2 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Weston-super-Mare | 6 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | AFC Totton | 5 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Hampton & Richmond Borough | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Mar 2019 | Maidstone | 0 - 2 | Ebbsfleet |
| 30 Oct 2018 | Ebbsfleet | 1 - 1 | Maidstone |
| 09 Jan 2018 | Maidstone | 1 - 2 | Ebbsfleet |
| 08 Aug 2017 | Ebbsfleet | 2 - 0 | Maidstone |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.05 | 48.8% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.20 | 31.2% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.71 | 58.5% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.05 | 48.8% | 27 Oct 06:15 |