| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 45.1% | 54% | -9.3% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 74.8% | 81% | -6.6% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 56.7% | 71% | -14.8% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.7% | 64% | -5.0% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.7% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 30.1% | 26.8% | 43.1% |
| xgboost | 44.9% | 27.3% | 27.8% |
| logistic | 38.1% | 29.0% | 33.0% |
| Woking | Leicester | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1436 | 1464 |
| Surface Elo | 1436 | 1464 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Oct | H | Harrogate | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Harrogate | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Eastleigh | 3 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Eastleigh | 3 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Solihull | 2 - 4 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Peterborough United | 1 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Peterboro | 1 - 3 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Stevenage | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Fulham | 6 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Barnsley | 1 - 1 | D |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.70 | 27.0% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.90 | 25.6% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.84 | 54.4% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.57 | 63.7% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.37 | 42.2% | 13 Oct 06:15 |