| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.0% | 51% | +0.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 53.2% | 46.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 46.7% | 53.2% |
| logistic | 50.1% | 49.9% |
| Gianmarco Ferrari | Jacopo Berrettini | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1451 | 1458 |
| Surface Elo | 1451 | 1458 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 38 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 27 Sep | H | Filippo Moroni | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Eric Vanshelboim | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep | A | Seghetti, S | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Thiago Seyboth Wild | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Jun | H | Roberto Carballes Baena | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Raffaele Ciurnelli | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Mar | H | Michele Ribecai | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Mar | H | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Mar | H | Tom Gentzsch | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Mar | A | Alex Rybakov | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.74 | 57.5% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.98 | 50.5% | 05 Nov 06:15 |