| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 78.5% | 80% | -1.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 28.4% | 71.6% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 11.2% | 88.8% |
| logistic | 35.2% | 64.8% |
| Lorenzo Carboni | Mackenzie Mcdonald | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1350 | 1584 |
| Surface Elo | 1350 | 1584 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 5 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | H | Luca Nardi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Mackenzie Mcdonald | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Federico Iannaccone | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | H | Sander Jong | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Javier Barranco Cosano | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Lorenzo Carboni | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Ryan Nijboer | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Ryan Nijboer | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Toby Samuel | 0 - 1 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Toby Samuel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Lorenzo Carboni | 2 - 1 | Mackenzie Mcdonald |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.25 | 80.0% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.75 | 26.7% | 12 Oct 06:15 |