| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 86.2% | 93% | -6.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 6.4% | 93.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 17.5% | 82.4% |
| logistic | 19.9% | 80.1% |
| Polina Kudermetova | Mirra Andreeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1456 | 1867 |
| Surface Elo | 1456 | 1867 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 02 Oct | A | Clara Tauson | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Mirra Andreeva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Clara Tauson | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Yexin Ma | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Kamilla Rakhimova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | A | Yue Yuan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Qinwen Zheng | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Nikola Bartunkova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Daria Snigur | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Mirra Andreeva | 2 - 0 | Polina Kudermetova |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.08 | 92.6% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 8.50 | 11.8% | 03 Oct 06:15 |