| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 69.4% | 71% | -1.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 26.9% | 73.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 36.4% | 63.6% |
| logistic | 35.4% | 64.6% |
| Elsa Jacquemot | Magdalena Frech | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1446 | 1600 |
| Surface Elo | 1446 | 1600 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 17 | 12 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | H | Magdalena Frech | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | Liudmila Samsonova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Marie Bouzkova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Jul | H | Mayar Sherif | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Jul | H | Tessa Johanna Brockmann | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Nikola Bartunkova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Elsa Jacquemot | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Sep | H | Iva Jovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | H | Caroline Dolehide | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Iva Jovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Elsa Jacquemot | 1 - 2 | Magdalena Frech |
| 12 Jan 2026 | Elsa Jacquemot | 0 - 2 | Magdalena Frech |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.41 | 70.9% | 30 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.00 | 33.3% | 30 Sep 06:15 |