| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.0% | 51% | +4.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 48.9% | 51.0% |
| logistic | 60.4% | 39.6% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Ruggeri, Jennifer | Nuria Brancaccio | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1598 | 1509 |
| Surface Elo | 1598 | 1509 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.70 | 2.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.90 | 1.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 05 Nov | H | Tichackova, E | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Mintegi Del Olmo, Ane | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Mazzola, Alessandra | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Cortez Llorca, Lucia | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Carlota Martinez Cirez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Valentini Grammatikopoulou | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Laura Pigossi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Alisa Oktiabreva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct 2026 | Ruggeri, Jennifer | 1 - 2 | Nuria Brancaccio |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.74 | 57.5% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.98 | 50.5% | 06 Nov 06:15 |