| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 42.1% | 44% | -2.3% | |
| DC | Home or away | 75.6% | 77% | -1.1% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 52.7% | 61% | -8.8% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.3% | 54% | -2.5% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.6% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.3% | 26.8% | 35.9% |
| xgboost | 38.8% | 24.2% | 37.0% |
| logistic | 36.1% | 28.0% | 35.9% |
| Eldense | Granada | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1428 | 1478 |
| Surface Elo | 1428 | 1478 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 1.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.67 | 0.33 |
| Rest days | 6 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 29 Oct | A | CD Atletico Baleares | 1 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Albacete | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Albacete | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | CD Soneja | 2 - 3 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Valladolid | 3 - 2 | W |
| 29 Oct | A | CD Cieza | 3 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Valladolid | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Valladolid | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Cadiz | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Cadiz | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Jan 2025 | Eldense | 0 - 3 | Granada |
| 09 Nov 2024 | Granada | 3 - 2 | Eldense |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.10 | 32.3% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.25 | 44.4% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.88 | 53.2% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.86 | 53.8% | 30 Oct 06:15 |