OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-09-30
🎾 ATP Challenger Porto 2, Portugal Men Singles · Wednesday 30 September 2026, 11:25 UTC · finished
Luca Potenza 1.80 0 - 2 1.20 Inaki Montes De La Torre
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 57.6%72%-13.9%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov41.4%58.6%
poisson37.0%35.3%
xgboost47.4%52.6%
logistic42.8%57.2%
Inputs the models saw
Luca PotenzaInaki Montes De La Torre
Elo (pre-match)15241628
Surface Elo15241628
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.801.20
Form trend-0.30-0.30
Season points per game2.001.50
Season goals for / game1.331.50
Season goals against / game1.001.50
Rest days23
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W1 W · 0 D
Luca Potenza: last 5
28 SepHLui Maxted1 - 0W
28 SepAInaki Montes De La Torre0 - 2L
27 SepAIvan Marrero Curbelo2 - 1W
20 SepAMoez Echargui1 - 2L
01 SepAInaki Montes De La Torre1 - 2L
Inaki Montes De La Torre: last 5
28 SepAHenrique Rocha1 - 2L
28 SepADavid Jorda Sanchis2 - 0W
28 SepAHugo Grenier2 - 0W
28 SepHJacob Fearnley1 - 0W
28 SepHLuca Potenza2 - 0W
Head to head
28 Sep 2026Inaki Montes De La Torre2 - 0Luca Potenza
01 Sep 2026Inaki Montes De La Torre2 - 1Luca Potenza
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.3574.1%30 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.0532.8%30 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:05 UTC