| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 68.9% | 70% | -1.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 23.8% | 76.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 37.2% | 62.8% |
| logistic | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| Laurent Lokoli | George Loffhagen | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1539 | 1615 |
| Surface Elo | 1539 | 1615 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Georgii Kravchenko | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Dessi, Marco | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Ivan Ivanov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Gabriele Pennaforti | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Sciahbasi, Matteo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Jacob Fearnley | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Filip Pieczonka | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | Charles Broom | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | Michele Ribecai | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | Inaki Montes De La Torre | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.43 | 69.9% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.70 | 37.0% | 12 Oct 06:15 |