| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 64.6% | 70% | -5.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 35.6% | 64.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 46.6% | 53.4% |
| logistic | 30.1% | 69.9% |
| Massimo Giunta | Carlos Taberner | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1425 | 1670 |
| Surface Elo | 1425 | 1670 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 29 Sep | H | Federico Arnaboldi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Carlos Taberner | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Federico Arnaboldi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | A | Mika Brunold | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Mika Brunold | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Elmer Moller | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Samuele Pieri | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Massimo Giunta | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Elmer Moller | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Max Alcala Gurri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Carlos Taberner | 2 - 0 | Massimo Giunta |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.47 | 68.0% | 01 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.55 | 39.2% | 01 Oct 06:15 |