| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.0% | 66% | -6.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 55.9% | 44.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 61.3% | 38.7% |
| logistic | 54.4% | 45.6% |
| Francesco Passaro | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1702 | 1718 |
| Surface Elo | 1702 | 1718 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.57 | 2.63 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.86 | 1.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.57 | 0.38 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 14 Oct | H | Tiago Torres | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Zsombor Piros | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Matej Dodig | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Marco Trungelliti | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Andrej Martin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Francesco Passaro | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Andrej Martin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Tiago Pereira | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Goncalo Marques | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Francesco Passaro | 2 - 0 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo |
| 16 Jan 2023 | Francesco Passaro | 2 - 0 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.45 | 40.8% | 15 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.51 | 66.2% | 15 Oct 06:15 |