| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 65.5% | 61% | +4.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 58.6% | 41.3% |
| logistic | 65.1% | 34.9% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Alice Tubello | Julia Riera | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1621 | 1553 |
| Surface Elo | 1621 | 1553 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.36 | 1.91 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.71 | 1.36 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.57 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 06 Nov | H | Bianca Andreescu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | A | Leolia Jeanjean | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Marina Bassols Ribera | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Rebeka Masarova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Julia Grabher | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Nov | A | Leyre Romero Gormaz | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | H | Renata Zarazua | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Julia Grabher | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Valentina Mediorreal Arias | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Julia Grabher | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.15 | 46.5% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.66 | 60.2% | 10 Nov 06:15 |