| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 79.4% | 70% | +8.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 67.4% | 32.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 72.2% | 27.7% |
| logistic | 79.8% | 20.2% |
| Stefan Kozlov | Braden Shick | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1684 | 1541 |
| Surface Elo | 1684 | 1541 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.91 | 1.20 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.45 | 0.90 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.30 |
| Rest days | 1 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Nov | A | Alexis Galarneau | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov | H | Aidan Mayo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Nov | A | Clement Chidekh | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Nov | H | Braden Shick | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Murphy Cassone | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Nov | A | Stefan Kozlov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | H | Darwin Blanch | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Colton Smith | 1 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Stefan Kozlov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Darwin Blanch | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Nov 2026 | Stefan Kozlov | 2 - 0 | Braden Shick |
| 02 Nov 2026 | Braden Shick | 0 - 2 | Stefan Kozlov |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.90 | 34.5% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.38 | 72.5% | 12 Nov 06:15 |