| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 62.8% | 51% | +11.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 52.2% | 47.7% |
| logistic | 66.7% | 33.3% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Eero Vasa | Goncalo Marques | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1499 | 1475 |
| Surface Elo | 1499 | 1475 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 6 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Nov | H | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Vadym Ursu | 1 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | A | Andrej Martin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Matteo Gribaldo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Makhlouf, Nazim | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Carlos Taberner | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Duje Ajdukovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.75 | 57.1% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.96 | 51.0% | 10 Nov 06:15 |