| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.9% | 47% | +10.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 43.8% | 56.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 59.9% | 40.1% |
| logistic | 61.4% | 38.6% |
| Sebastian Baez | Jenson Brooksby | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1797 | 1711 |
| Surface Elo | 1797 | 1711 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 23 | 24 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 23 Sep | A | Jenson Brooksby | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Brandon Nakashima | 0 - 3 | L |
| 27 Aug | A | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 0 - 1 | L |
| 26 Aug | A | Hugo Grenier | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Aug | A | Learner Tien | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep | H | Sebastian Baez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Jaime Faria | 2 - 3 | L |
| 25 Aug | H | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | Jaime Faria | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep 2026 | Jenson Brooksby | 2 - 0 | Sebastian Baez |
| 06 May 2026 | Jenson Brooksby | 0 - 2 | Sebastian Baez |
| 14 Jan 2026 | Jenson Brooksby | 0 - 2 | Sebastian Baez |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.73 | 57.8% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.15 | 46.5% | 22 Sep 06:15 |