| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 62.6% | 82% | -19.4% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 86.8% | 94% | -7.3% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 82.5% | 93% | -10.3% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.2% | 88% | -24.9% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 59.6% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 70.1% | 16.4% | 13.6% |
| xgboost | 64.7% | 20.4% | 14.8% |
| logistic | 75.3% | 15.7% | 9.0% |
| Bayern München | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1917 | 1707 |
| Surface Elo | 1917 | 1707 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 6 W | 1 W · 3 D |
| 13 Oct | A | Viking FK | 3 - 3 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Augsburg | 2 - 2 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Augsburg | 2 - 2 | D |
| 18 Sep | H | Union Berlin | 7 - 0 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Elversberg | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | PSV Eindhoven | 1 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | Hamburg | 5 - 0 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | RB Leipzig | 1 - 5 | Bayern München |
| 22 Aug 2025 | Bayern München | 6 - 0 | RB Leipzig |
| 03 May 2025 | RB Leipzig | 3 - 3 | Bayern München |
| 20 Dec 2024 | Bayern München | 5 - 1 | RB Leipzig |
| 24 Feb 2024 | Bayern München | 2 - 1 | RB Leipzig |
| 30 Sep 2023 | RB Leipzig | 2 - 2 | Bayern München |
| 20 May 2023 | Bayern München | 1 - 3 | RB Leipzig |
| 20 Jan 2023 | RB Leipzig | 1 - 1 | Bayern München |
| 05 Feb 2022 | Bayern München | 3 - 2 | RB Leipzig |
| 11 Sep 2021 | RB Leipzig | 1 - 4 | Bayern München |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 9.00 | 11.1% | 17 Oct 17:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 7.00 | 14.3% | 17 Oct 17:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.25 | 80.0% | 17 Oct 17:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.13 | 88.5% | 17 Oct 17:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 6.00 | 16.7% | 17 Oct 17:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 11.30 | 8.8% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 9.20 | 10.9% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.22 | 82.0% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.13 | 88.5% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 6.60 | 15.2% | 17 Oct 06:15 |