| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.5% | 62% | -7.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 45.7% | 54.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 43.2% | 56.7% |
| logistic | 48.2% | 51.8% |
| Alex Marti Pujolras | Sandro Kopp | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1469 | 1490 |
| Surface Elo | 1469 | 1490 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 2.14 | 1.20 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.57 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.71 | 1.20 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Oct | A | Andrej Nedic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Pierluigi Basile | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Izan Almazan Valiente | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Sandro Kopp | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Andrej Nedic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Samuele Pieri | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Gianluca Cadenasso | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Filippo Romano | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Alex Marti Pujolras | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Samuele Pieri | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Alex Marti Pujolras | 0 - 2 | Sandro Kopp |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.61 | 62.1% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |