| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 68.0% | 90% | -22.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 13.8% | 86.2% |
| logistic | 51.4% | 48.6% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Cagla Buyukakcay | Lucrezia Stefanini | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1469 | 1442 |
| Surface Elo | 1469 | 1442 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 29 Sep | A | Carole Monnet | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Dilek, Deniz | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Kuzmova, Katarina | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 May | H | Julia Grabher | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 May | H | Linda Fruhvirtova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Elena Ruxandra Bertea | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Nadia Podoroska | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | H | Nadia Podoroska | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Jasmine Paolini | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Dayana Yastremska | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.11 | 90.1% | 30 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 5.80 | 17.2% | 30 Sep 06:15 |