| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 51.3% | 58% | -6.4% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 76.6% | 82% | -4.9% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 65.8% | 76% | -9.9% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.6% | 62% | -1.7% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 61.9% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 31.1% | 21.9% | 47.1% |
| xgboost | 24.1% | 22.5% | 53.5% |
| logistic | 22.9% | 26.6% | 50.4% |
| Corum | Fenerbahce | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1549 | 1749 |
| Surface Elo | 1549 | 1749 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.10 | 2.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 8 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 31 Oct | A | Erzurumspor | 3 - 1 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Erzurumspor | 3 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Goztep | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Goztepe Izmir | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | H | Rizespor | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Liverpool | 3 - 2 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Goztep | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Goztepe Izmir | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | A | Galatasaray | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | A | Galatasaray | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 1.86 | 53.8% | 08 Nov 13:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 08 Nov 13:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 3.40 | 29.4% | 08 Nov 13:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.57 | 63.7% | 08 Nov 13:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.35 | 42.5% | 08 Nov 13:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.79 | 55.9% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.10 | 24.4% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.40 | 22.7% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.60 | 62.5% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.40 | 41.7% | 08 Nov 06:15 |