| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.6% | 71% | -13.8% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.0% | 49.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 61.9% | 38.1% |
| logistic | 53.8% | 46.2% |
| Justin Boulais | Alexandre Reco | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1463 | 1511 |
| Surface Elo | 1463 | 1511 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.67 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 4 | 706 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Sep | A | Harold Mayot | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Matteo Martineau | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Harold Mayot | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Mickael Kaouk | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Aug | A | Benjamin Bonzi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | H | Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Harold Mayot | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Alessandro Pecci | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Hazem Naw | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Sep | H | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.80 | 35.7% | 27 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.40 | 71.4% | 27 Sep 06:15 |