| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 69.9% | 68% | +1.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 75.7% | 24.2% |
| logistic | 59.2% | 40.8% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Caroline Garcia | Amandine Hesse | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1562 | 1436 |
| Surface Elo | 1562 | 1436 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 19 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Sep | H | Petrov, A | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Sep | H | Yasmine Kabbaj | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | Kamilla Rakhimova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Aug | H | Karolina Muchova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Aug | H | Sonay Kartal | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Tsygourova, Katerina | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Esquiva Banuls, Charo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | A | Cadence Brace | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Hietaranta, Laura | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Arina Arifullina | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.60 | 38.5% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.46 | 68.5% | 11 Oct 06:15 |