| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 69.1% | 53% | +16.2% | abandoned |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 59.2% | 40.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 71.6% | 28.4% |
| logistic | 67.9% | 32.1% |
| Ioannis Xilas | Lorenzo Carboni | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1494 | 1345 |
| Surface Elo | 1494 | 1345 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 25 Sep | A | Sander Jong | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Pedro Rodenas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | Leonardo Borrelli | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Jul | A | Hugo Dellien | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Jun | H | Kilian Feldbausch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Daniel Michalski | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Pedro Martinez | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Aug | A | Daniel Michalski | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Aug | H | Petr Brunclik | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Jun | H | Roberto Carballes Baena | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.81 | 55.2% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.89 | 52.9% | 29 Sep 06:15 |