| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 65.6% | 83% | -17.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 62.3% | 37.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 71.6% | 28.3% |
| logistic | 66.7% | 33.3% |
| Manas Dhamne | Aleksandr Braynin | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1486 | 1385 |
| Surface Elo | 1486 | 1385 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 1 | 16 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Oct | H | Aleksa Ciric | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Viktor Durasovic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Maxime Janvier | 1 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Daniel Rincon | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | Viktor Durasovic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Guillaume Dalmasso | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Penzlin, J | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Car, Hugo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Nov | H | Nikolay Vylegzhanin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Nov | H | Luca Potenza | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.90 | 25.6% | 29 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.21 | 82.6% | 29 Oct 06:15 |