| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.5% | 32% | +26.9% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Draw or away | 81.8% | 59% | +22.7% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 74.2% | 42% | +31.7% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.0% | 61% | -12.3% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 48.6% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 17.6% | 21.9% | 60.5% |
| xgboost | 31.4% | 29.2% | 39.5% |
| logistic | 23.5% | 28.5% | 48.0% |
| Bromley | Brentford | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1512 | 1753 |
| Surface Elo | 1512 | 1753 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.70 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Sep | H | Huddersfield | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Huddersfield | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Blackpool | 2 - 2 | D |
| 07 Sep | H | AFC Wimbledon | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Sep | H | Leyton Orient | 0 - 5 | L |
| 18 Sep | H | Chelsea | 3 - 0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Bournemouth | 2 - 2 | D |
| 05 Sep | H | Sunderland | 1 - 1 | D |
| 30 Aug | A | Leeds | 1 - 1 | D |
| 22 Aug | H | Tottenham | 3 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.20 | 31.2% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.63 | 61.4% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.25 | 44.4% | 22 Sep 06:15 |