| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 53.0% | 60% | -7.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 36.4% | 63.5% |
| logistic | 59.2% | 40.8% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Marlon Vankan | Dante Pagani | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1504 | 1452 |
| Surface Elo | 1504 | 1452 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 1.71 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.43 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 32 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 09 Oct | A | Calvin Hemery | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Noah Schachter | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Courtney John Lock | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Chetanna Amadike | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Aug | H | Mats Rosenkranz | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Murkel Dellien | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Murkel Dellien | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Oct | H | Tomas Martinez | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Oct | A | Juan Pablo Ficovich | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Julian Cundom | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.66 | 60.2% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 10 Nov 06:15 |