| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.6% | 72% | -11.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.6% | 48.4% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 68.7% | 31.3% |
| logistic | 63.7% | 36.3% |
| Yanaki Milev | Maximus Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1581 | 1444 |
| Surface Elo | 1581 | 1444 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.58 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.75 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | A | Filippo Romano | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Lorenzo Giustino | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Pavel Lagutin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Federico Iannaccone | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Maxime Chazal | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Sebastian Gima | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Hiroki Moriya | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Florent Bax | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Sep | A | Ivan Ivanov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Jul | A | Ilya Ivashka | 0 - 1 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.90 | 34.5% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.38 | 72.5% | 19 Oct 06:15 |