OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-07
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Championship · Saturday 07 November 2026, 12:30 UTC · finished
Bristol City 0.80 0 - 5 1.80 Norwich
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 41.1%36%+4.9%✗ miss
DCHome or away 73.3%77%-3.6%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 55.2%50%+5.4%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 53.6%56%-2.0%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 56.0%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson40.0%26.0%34.0%
xgboost36.9%32.0%31.2%
logistic40.0%26.6%33.4%
Inputs the models saw
Bristol CityNorwich
Elo (pre-match)15181547
Surface Elo15181547
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.801.80
Form trend-0.30-0.90
Season points per game1.291.29
Season goals for / game1.141.93
Season goals against / game1.361.71
Rest days23
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W5 W · 1 D
Bristol City: last 5
04 NovHWolverhampton Wanderers1 - 2L
04 NovHWolverhampton Wanderers1 - 2L
31 OctABolton3 - 2W
31 OctABolton3 - 2W
24 OctAStoke0 - 0D
Norwich: last 5
03 NovADerby4 - 0W
03 NovADerby4 - 0W
03 NovABraintree Town1 - 3L
31 OctHWatford3 - 2W
31 OctHWatford3 - 2W
Head to head
21 Oct 2026Norwich1 - 1Bristol City
18 Apr 2026Bristol City2 - 4Norwich
18 Oct 2025Norwich0 - 1Bristol City
14 Mar 2025Bristol City2 - 1Norwich
09 Nov 2024Norwich0 - 2Bristol City
20 Apr 2024Norwich1 - 1Bristol City
03 Dec 2023Bristol City1 - 2Norwich
11 Feb 2023Bristol City1 - 0Norwich
14 Sep 2022Norwich3 - 2Bristol City
20 Jan 2021Norwich2 - 0Bristol City
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.4540.8%07 Nov 12:30
Bet3651X2draw3.3030.3%07 Nov 12:30
Bet3651X2home2.7037.0%07 Nov 12:30
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.8554.0%07 Nov 12:30
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.0050.0%07 Nov 12:30
SportyBet1X2away2.4640.6%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.6027.8%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.8934.6%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.8055.6%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.0548.8%07 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:04 UTC