OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-10
⚽ Scottish League Two · Saturday 10 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Edinburgh City 1.60 1 - 3 1.40 Spartans
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 47.7%38%+9.6%✗ miss
DCHome or away 75.6%81%-5.5%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 59.7%52%+7.9%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 62.9%60%+3.4%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 60.8%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson32.5%23.5%44.0%
xgboost37.8%29.9%32.4%
logistic42.6%26.4%31.0%
Inputs the models saw
Edinburgh CitySpartans
Elo (pre-match)13581416
Surface Elo13581416
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.601.40
Form trend-0.300.50
Season points per game1.671.33
Season goals for / game2.112.11
Season goals against / game1.671.89
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W4 W · 2 D
Edinburgh City: last 5
03 OctAStranraer0 - 0D
03 OctAStranraer0 - 0D
22 SepHDundee United1 - 0W
19 SepAKelty Hearts3 - 1W
19 SepAKelty Hearts3 - 1W
Spartans: last 5
03 OctHKelty Hearts0 - 2L
03 OctHKelty Hearts0 - 2L
25 SepHDundee1 - 0W
22 SepAGala Fairydean Rovers0 - 0D
19 SepADumbarton0 - 3L
Head to head
08 Aug 2026Spartans2 - 2Edinburgh City
04 Apr 2026Edinburgh City0 - 3Spartans
14 Feb 2026Spartans0 - 0Edinburgh City
27 Dec 2025Edinburgh City1 - 3Spartans
04 Oct 2025Spartans0 - 1Edinburgh City
03 May 2025Spartans3 - 1Edinburgh City
15 Feb 2025Edinburgh City5 - 0Spartans
28 Dec 2024Spartans1 - 0Edinburgh City
12 Oct 2024Edinburgh City2 - 0Spartans
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.7037.0%10 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.3030.3%10 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2home2.2544.4%10 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.8055.6%10 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.0050.0%10 Oct 15:00
SportyBet1X2away2.3542.5%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.5028.6%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.7037.0%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6959.2%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.1047.6%10 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:20 UTC