| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.1% | 62% | -10.0% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 81.1% | 87% | -6.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 72.0% | 82% | -10.1% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.6% | 62% | -10.2% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.7% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 44.8% | 33.0% | 22.2% |
| xgboost | 52.4% | 27.0% | 20.7% |
| logistic | 56.5% | 26.7% | 16.7% |
| Athletic Club | Getafe | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1598 | 1598 |
| Surface Elo | 1598 | 1598 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 2 W · 6 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Unionistas de Salamanca CF | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | A | Levante | 1 - 3 | L |
| 21 Oct | A | Levante | 1 - 3 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | CD Coria | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Valencia | 0 - 0 | D |
| 25 Oct | H | Calvo Sotelo Puertollano | 2 - 2 | D |
| 22 Oct | H | Lugano | 2 - 5 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Vallecano | 1 - 1 | D |
| 18 Oct | H | Albacete | 2 - 2 | D |
| 15 Oct | A | CS Universitatea Craiova | 1 - 1 | D |
| 05 Apr 2026 | Getafe | 2 - 0 | Athletic Club |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Athletic Club | 0 - 1 | Getafe |
| 15 May 2025 | Getafe | 0 - 2 | Athletic Club |
| 15 Aug 2024 | Athletic Club | 1 - 1 | Getafe |
| 03 May 2024 | Getafe | 0 - 2 | Athletic Club |
| 27 Sep 2023 | Athletic Club | 2 - 2 | Getafe |
| 01 Apr 2023 | Athletic Club | 0 - 0 | Getafe |
| 18 Oct 2022 | Getafe | 2 - 2 | Athletic Club |
| 18 Mar 2022 | Athletic Club | 1 - 1 | Getafe |
| 06 Dec 2021 | Getafe | 0 - 0 | Athletic Club |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 6.30 | 15.9% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.98 | 25.1% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.61 | 62.1% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.30 | 43.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.62 | 61.7% | 23 Oct 06:15 |