| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.4% | 49% | +5.7% | abandoned |
| DC | Home or draw | 77.3% | 78% | -0.4% | abandoned |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 69.6% | 67% | +2.5% | abandoned |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 48.7% | 53% | -3.8% | abandoned |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.3% | no line | abandoned |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 55.2% | 21.1% | 23.7% |
| xgboost | 57.2% | 21.1% | 21.7% |
| logistic | 48.6% | 28.2% | 23.1% |
| Estoril | Maritimo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1420 | 1407 |
| Surface Elo | 1420 | 1407 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.90 | 2.10 |
| Rest days | 7 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 1 W · 3 D |
| 31 Oct | A | Porto | 0 - 4 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Porto | 0 - 4 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Moreirense | 1 - 3 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Moreirense | 1 - 3 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | SC Salgueiros | 1 - 1 | D |
| 01 Nov | H | Santa Clara | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | Santa Clara | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Sporting | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | A | Guimaraes | 0 - 5 | L |
| 23 Oct | A | Guimaraes | 0 - 5 | L |
| 27 May 2023 | Estoril | 3 - 1 | Maritimo |
| 22 Jan 2023 | Maritimo | 1 - 0 | Estoril |
| 05 Feb 2022 | Maritimo | 0 - 0 | Estoril |
| 27 Aug 2021 | Estoril | 2 - 1 | Maritimo |
| 07 Apr 2018 | Estoril | 1 - 1 | Maritimo |
| 26 Nov 2017 | Maritimo | 0 - 0 | Estoril |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.60 | 27.8% | 08 Nov 06:01 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 08 Nov 06:01 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.01 | 49.8% | 08 Nov 06:01 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.90 | 52.6% | 08 Nov 06:01 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.90 | 52.6% | 08 Nov 06:01 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.55 | 28.2% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.54 | 28.2% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.15 | 46.5% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.93 | 51.8% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.91 | 52.4% | 07 Nov 06:15 |